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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 31 October 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 25
  3. 39
  4. 40
  5. 47
  6. 20

Jackpot$40,000,000

The crowdHeld 10% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 321 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-10-27All recent draws2018-11-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 25 39 40 47 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd89th
  • low33th
  • widest gap27th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

720times
2526times
3920times
4024times
47

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-31

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.2Mto 410k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18%$400.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball20%$448.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47%$1.1M
  • 4 other tiers15%$339.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

20times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

2011times

Every number was expected about that many times after 320 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (7, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 August 2018 — its closest relative in 320 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

158

The numbers add up to 158 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 52 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$40,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.86 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8≈ 11 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4292≈ 276 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball738≈ 696 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,588≈ 14k by chance$7.00
  • Match 319,167≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball112,035≈ 110k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball263,294≈ 263k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,167 winners, 10% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball263,294$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball112,035$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,588$7.00
    Match 319,167$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball738$100
    Match 4292$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$40,000,000