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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 26 September 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 7
  4. 30
  5. 50
  6. 8

Jackpot$195,000,000

The crowdHeld 36% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 311 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-09-22All recent draws2018-09-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 7 30 50 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd33th
  • low89th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

120times
218times
719times
3020times
50

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-26

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.3Mto 509k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 524%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21%$900.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball30%$1.3M
  • 5 other tiers26%$1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

23times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

812times

Every number was expected about that many times after 310 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 7) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 August 2018 — its closest relative in 310 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$195,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.0 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 13 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4450≈ 331 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,303≈ 834 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,818≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 328,394≈ 21k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball142,100≈ 131k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball315,599≈ 316k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,303 winners, 56% more than the 834 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball315,599$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball142,100$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,818$7.00
    Match 328,394$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,303$100
    Match 4450$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$195,000,000