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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 11 July 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 19
  2. 21
  3. 27
  4. 46
  5. 47
  6. 7

Jackpot$90,000,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 289 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-07-07All recent draws2018-07-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 21 27 46 47 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap31th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

1921times
2120times
2720times
4614times
47

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-11

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.9Mto 431k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 541%$2.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20%$1.0M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%$1.1M
  • 5 other tiers17%$846.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

17times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

711times

Every number was expected about that many times after 288 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (19, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 May 2018 — its closest relative in 288 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

160

The numbers add up to 160 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 46–47. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 44 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$90,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 0.89 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 11 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4265≈ 286 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball852≈ 720 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,866≈ 15k by chance$7.00
  • Match 316,871≈ 18k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball122,922≈ 114k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball272,470≈ 272k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 17,866 winners, 20% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball272,470$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball122,922$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,866$7.00
    Match 316,871$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball852$100
    Match 4265$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20$50,000
    Match 52$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$90,000,000