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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 12 May 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 42
  3. 45
  4. 55
  5. 56
  6. 14

Jackpot$257,900,000

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 272 of 1,432 under them

← 2018-05-09All recent draws2018-05-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 42 45 55 56 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 May 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd33th
  • low10th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

2218times
4217times
4515times
5516times
56

Prize breakdown · 2018-05-12

  • Lines in play≈ 19Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.2Mto 746k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21%$900.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$790.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47%$2.0M
  • 4 other tiers13%$559.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

16times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

143times

Every number was expected about that many times after 271 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (45, 55, 56) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 September 2017 — its closest relative in 271 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 39% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 May 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

220

The numbers add up to 220 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 55–56. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.06 by chance
$257,900,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.6 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 21 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4495≈ 516 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,226≈ 1.3k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball25,352≈ 27k by chance$7.00
  • Match 330,008≈ 32k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball197,667≈ 205k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball491,307≈ 491k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 30,008 winners, 8% fewer than the 32k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball491,307$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball197,667$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball25,352$7.00
    Match 330,008$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,226$100
    Match 4495$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$257,900,000