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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 10 March 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 43
  2. 44
  3. 54
  4. 61
  5. 69
  6. 22

Jackpot$380,600,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 254 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-03-07All recent draws2018-03-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed43 44 54 61 69 + 2229 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 March 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd65th
  • low1th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

4313times
4419times
5420times
6123times
69

Prize breakdown · 2018-03-10

  • Lines in play≈ 25Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$8.7Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 535%$3.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14%$1.3M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball31%$2.7M
  • 5 other tiers21%$1.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

28times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

2211times

Every number was expected about that many times after 253 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (44, 69) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 February 2018 — its closest relative in 253 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

271

The numbers add up to 271 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 55 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$380,600,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.2 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 28 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4635≈ 698 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,535≈ 1.8k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball33,611≈ 36k by chance$7.00
  • Match 339,931≈ 44k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball262,734≈ 277k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball665,136≈ 665k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈25M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,535 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball665,136$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball262,734$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball33,611$7.00
    Match 339,931$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,535$100
    Match 4635$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25$50,000
    Match 53$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$380,600,000