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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 21 October 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 41
  3. 42
  4. 45
  5. 69
  6. 4

Jackpot$174,300,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 214 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-10-18All recent draws2017-10-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 41 42 45 69 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd65th
  • low10th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

1411times
4119times
4214times
4512times
69

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 15Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.4Mto 596k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 523%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18%$800.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36%$1.6M
  • 5 other tiers23%$1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

23times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

47times

Every number was expected about that many times after 213 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (42, 69) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 July 2017 — its closest relative in 213 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 October 2017): 69 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

211

The numbers add up to 211 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$174,300,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.3 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16≈ 17 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4339≈ 417 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball905≈ 1.1k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,250≈ 22k by chance$7.00
  • Match 322,710≈ 26k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball155,441≈ 166k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball397,576≈ 398k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 905 winners, 14% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball397,576$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball155,441$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,250$7.00
    Match 322,710$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball905$100
    Match 4339$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$174,300,000