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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 11 October 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 13
  4. 19
  5. 69
  6. 23

Jackpot$127,100,000

The crowdHeld 52% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 211 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-10-07All recent draws2017-10-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 13 19 69 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd99th
  • low89th
  • widest gap100th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread100th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

112times
318times
1311times
1915times
69

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-11

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.8Mto 451k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25%$700.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%$497.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40%$1.1M
  • 4 other tiers17%$483.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

20times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

235times

Every number was expected about that many times after 210 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 3, 13) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 January 2017 — its closest relative in 210 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.04 by chance
$127,100,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.91 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14≈ 12 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4517≈ 292 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,055≈ 736 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,659≈ 15k by chance$7.00
  • Match 328,018≈ 18k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball124,356≈ 116k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball278,284≈ 278k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 28,018 winners, 52% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball278,284$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball124,356$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,659$7.00
    Match 328,018$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,055$100
    Match 4517$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$127,100,000