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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 11 March 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 26
  3. 41
  4. 50
  5. 57
  6. 11

Jackpot$106,600,000

The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 150 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-03-08All recent draws2017-03-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 26 41 50 57 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd65th
  • low33th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

16times
265times
4112times
5011times
57

Prize breakdown · 2017-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.7Mto 552k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11%$300.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%$592.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball53%$1.5M
  • 4 other tiers14%$381.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

114times

Every number was expected about that many times after 149 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 57) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 December 2016 — its closest relative in 149 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 March 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 50th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

50 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.05 by chance
$106,600,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.2 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball6≈ 15 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4295≈ 382 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball853≈ 963 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,289≈ 20k by chance$7.00
  • Match 319,841≈ 24k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball148,220≈ 152k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball364,029≈ 364k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,841 winners, 18% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball364,029$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball148,220$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,289$7.00
    Match 319,841$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball853$100
    Match 4295$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball6$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$106,600,000