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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 4 March 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 18
  3. 19
  4. 22
  5. 63
  6. 19

Jackpot$71,200,000

The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 148 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-03-01All recent draws2017-03-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 18 19 22 63 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd33th
  • low89th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread89th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

210times
189times
199times
228times
63

Prize breakdown · 2017-03-04

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$3.7Mto 447k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 527%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18%$650.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball31%$1.1M
  • 5 other tiers24%$891.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

196times

Every number was expected about that many times after 147 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (2, 63) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 June 2016 — its closest relative in 147 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 51 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$71,200,000
  • Match 51≈ 0.93 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13≈ 12 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4348≈ 297 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball884≈ 750 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,935≈ 15k by chance$7.00
  • Match 322,304≈ 19k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball123,438≈ 118k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball283,481≈ 283k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 22,304 winners, 19% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball283,481$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball123,438$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,935$7.00
    Match 322,304$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball884$100
    Match 4348$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$71,200,000