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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 15 February 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 28
  3. 33
  4. 38
  5. 42
  6. 19

Jackpot$317,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 143 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-02-11All recent draws2017-02-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 28 33 38 42 + 1929 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd33th
  • low65th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

59times
2815times
3312times
387times
42

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-15

  • Lines in play≈ 28Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$11.4Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 544%$5.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12%$1.4M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%$2.9M
  • 5 other tiers19%$2.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

9times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

194times

Every number was expected about that many times after 142 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 38, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 December 2016 — its closest relative in 142 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 February 2017): 5 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$317,000,000
  • Match 55≈ 2.4 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27≈ 31 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4850≈ 770 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,893≈ 1.9k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball40,905≈ 40k by chance$7.00
  • Match 350,475≈ 49k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball309,345≈ 306k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball733,993≈ 734k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 850 winners, 10% more than the 770 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball733,993$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball309,345$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball40,905$7.00
    Match 350,475$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,893$100
    Match 4850$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27$50,000
    Match 55$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$317,000,000