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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 1 February 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 43
  3. 57
  4. 60
  5. 64
  6. 10

Jackpot$209,700,000

The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 139 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-01-28All recent draws2017-02-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 43 57 60 64 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd65th
  • low10th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

98times
438times
5710times
609times
64

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-01

  • Lines in play≈ 18Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$7.6Mto 710k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 552%$4.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball10%$740.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%$1.9M
  • 5 other tiers13%$989.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

20times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

108times

Every number was expected about that many times after 138 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (57, 64) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 October 2016 — its closest relative in 138 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 January 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

233

The numbers add up to 233 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

60 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$209,700,000
  • Match 54≈ 1.6 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10≈ 20 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4421≈ 498 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,075≈ 1.3k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball22,463≈ 26k by chance$7.00
  • Match 326,125≈ 31k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball185,096≈ 198k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball474,326≈ 474k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 26,125 winners, 17% fewer than the 31k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball474,326$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball185,096$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball22,463$7.00
    Match 326,125$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,075$100
    Match 4421$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10$50,000
    Match 54$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$209,700,000