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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 11 January 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 13
  4. 16
  5. 43
  6. 24

Jackpot$105,500,000

The crowdHeld 56% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 133 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-01-07All recent draws2017-01-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 13 16 43 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

15times
315times
136times
1616times
43

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.5Mto 410k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24%$600.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%$452.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40%$1.0M
  • 4 other tiers18%$437.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

7times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

245times

Every number was expected about that many times after 132 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 3) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 December 2016 — its closest relative in 132 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 January 2017): 3 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

76

The numbers add up to 76 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.03 by chance
$105,500,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.83 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12≈ 11 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4449≈ 265 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball935≈ 667 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,735≈ 14k by chance$7.00
  • Match 326,051≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball113,006≈ 105k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball252,412≈ 252k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 26,051 winners, 56% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball252,412$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball113,006$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,735$7.00
    Match 326,051$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball935$100
    Match 4449$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$105,500,000