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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 4 January 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 17
  3. 29
  4. 41
  5. 42
  6. 4

Jackpot$80,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 131 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-12-31All recent draws2017-01-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 17 29 41 42 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

1615times
178times
2910times
4110times
42

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 9.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.1Mto 384k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%$350.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball20%$426.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47%$979.5K
  • 4 other tiers16%$325.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

7times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

42times

Every number was expected about that many times after 130 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (29, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 September 2016 — its closest relative in 130 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17, 41–42. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$80,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.80 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball7≈ 10 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4332≈ 257 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball693≈ 647 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,509≈ 13k by chance$7.00
  • Match 317,333≈ 16k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball106,562≈ 102k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball244,869≈ 245k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 14,509 winners, 8% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball244,869$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball106,562$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,509$7.00
    Match 317,333$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball693$100
    Match 4332$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball7$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$80,000,000