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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 16 November 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 28
  2. 41
  3. 61
  4. 63
  5. 65
  6. 7

Jackpot$294,200,000

The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 117 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-11-12All recent draws2016-11-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed28 41 61 63 65 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd89th
  • low10th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

2810times
417times
6110times
639times
65

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-16

  • Lines in play≈ 24Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.7Mto 919k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15%$700.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball20%$925.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball53%$2.5M
  • 4 other tiers13%$592.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

7times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

72times

Every number was expected about that many times after 116 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (28, 63) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 September 2016 — its closest relative in 116 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 November 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

258

The numbers add up to 258 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

65 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.08 by chance
$294,200,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.1 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14≈ 26 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4491≈ 658 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,285≈ 1.7k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball27,692≈ 34k by chance$7.00
  • Match 331,570≈ 41k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball231,251≈ 261k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball627,047≈ 627k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 491 winners, 25% fewer than the 658 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball627,047$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball231,251$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball27,692$7.00
    Match 331,570$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,285$100
    Match 4491$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$294,200,000