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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 9 November 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 25
  3. 28
  4. 31
  5. 54
  6. 2

Jackpot$236,700,000

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 115 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-11-05All recent draws2016-11-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 25 28 31 54 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 November 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread66th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

12times
2510times
289times
3110times
54

Prize breakdown · 2016-11-09

  • Lines in play≈ 17Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.0Mto 675k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24%$950.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%$735.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball43%$1.7M
  • 4 other tiers14%$568.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

23times

Every number was expected about that many times after 114 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 October 2016 — its closest relative in 114 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 November 2016): 31 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.06 by chance
$236,700,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.4 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19≈ 18 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4511≈ 454 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,237≈ 1.1k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,399≈ 24k by chance$7.00
  • Match 331,904≈ 29k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball183,904≈ 180k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball432,586≈ 433k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 31,904 winners, 12% more than the 29k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball432,586$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball183,904$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball24,399$7.00
    Match 331,904$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,237$100
    Match 4511$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$236,700,000