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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 26 October 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 16
  4. 48
  5. 56
  6. 24

Jackpot$164,200,000

The crowdHeld 10% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 111 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-10-22All recent draws2016-10-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 16 48 56 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd10th
  • low65th
  • widest gap83th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

29times
311times
1611times
483times
56

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-26

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$3.7Mto 488k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 527%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15%$550.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball33%$1.2M
  • 5 other tiers25%$946.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

243times

Every number was expected about that many times after 110 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 56) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 June 2016 — its closest relative in 110 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 October 2016): 56 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$164,200,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.0 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11≈ 13 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4319≈ 326 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball851≈ 821 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,563≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 322,508≈ 21k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball135,577≈ 129k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball310,571≈ 311k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 22,508 winners, 10% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball310,571$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball135,577$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,563$7.00
    Match 322,508$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball851$100
    Match 4319$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$164,200,000