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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 8 October 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 54
  3. 61
  4. 64
  5. 68
  6. 9

Jackpot$92,600,000

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 106 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-10-05All recent draws2016-10-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 54 61 64 68 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd33th
  • low10th
  • widest gap100th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

310times
546times
618times
6416times
68

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-08

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.5Mto 447k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20%$500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$460.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball49%$1.2M
  • 4 other tiers12%$288.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

9times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

95times

Every number was expected about that many times after 105 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 61, 64) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 January 2016 — its closest relative in 105 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 17% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

250

The numbers add up to 250 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

54 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$92,600,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.99 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10≈ 13 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4222≈ 317 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball612≈ 799 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,664≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 315,580≈ 20k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball115,052≈ 126k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball302,102≈ 302k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 612 winners, 23% fewer than the 799 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball302,102$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball115,052$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,664$7.00
    Match 315,580$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball612$100
    Match 4222$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$92,600,000