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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 14 September 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 23
  4. 28
  5. 31
  6. 14

Jackpot$224,900,000

The crowdHeld 52% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 99 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-09-10All recent draws2016-09-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 23 28 31 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd65th
  • low99th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

108times
1111times
2313times
286times
31

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-14

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$7.9Mto 657k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 538%$3.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23%$1.8M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%$1.6M
  • 5 other tiers18%$1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

141time

Every number was expected about that many times after 98 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (11, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 July 2016 — its closest relative in 98 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 September 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

103

The numbers add up to 103 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$224,900,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.3 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball36≈ 17 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4794≈ 426 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,612≈ 1.1k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball26,601≈ 22k by chance$7.00
  • Match 340,909≈ 27k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball180,985≈ 169k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball406,250≈ 406k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 40,909 winners, 52% more than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball406,250$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball180,985$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball26,601$7.00
    Match 340,909$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,612$100
    Match 4794$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball36$50,000
    Match 53$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$224,900,000