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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 17 August 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 33
  2. 44
  3. 49
  4. 50
  5. 52
  6. 8

Jackpot$94,900,000

The crowdHeld 15% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 91 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-08-13All recent draws2016-08-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed33 44 49 50 52 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 August 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

25oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd33th
  • low10th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

337times
446times
493times
507times
52

Prize breakdown · 2016-08-17

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.1Mto 461k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 35.7%$121.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%$470.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball58%$1.2M
  • 4 other tiers14%$297.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

82times

Every number was expected about that many times after 90 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (33, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 August 2016 — its closest relative in 90 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2016): 44 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

228

The numbers add up to 228 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 49–50. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$94,900,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.0 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 13 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4258≈ 325 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball674≈ 819 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,883≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 317,362≈ 20k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball117,717≈ 129k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball309,666≈ 310k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 674 winners, 18% fewer than the 819 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball309,666$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball117,717$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,883$7.00
    Match 317,362$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball674$100
    Match 4258$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball2$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$94,900,000