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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 30 July 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 17
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 32
  6. 5

Jackpot$487,000,000

The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 86 of 1,429 under them

← 2016-07-27All recent draws2016-08-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 17 21 23 32 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd89th
  • low99th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

118times
174times
212times
2310times
32

Prize breakdown · 2016-07-30

  • Lines in play≈ 59Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$518.4Mto 2.5M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball94%$487.0M
  • Match 52.7%$14.0M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1.2%$6.2M
  • 6 other tiers2.2%$11.2M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

54times

Every number was expected about that many times after 85 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (11, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 July 2016 — its closest relative in 85 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 July 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 44 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 0.20 by chance
$487,000,000
  • Match 514≈ 5.1 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball121≈ 65 by chance$50,000
  • Match 42,390≈ 1.6k by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball5,746≈ 4.1k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball99,451≈ 85k by chance$7.00
  • Match 3127,682≈ 102k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball683,864≈ 645k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1,548,273≈ 1.5M by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈59M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,390 winners, 47% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1,548,273$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball683,864$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball99,451$7.00
    Match 3127,682$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball5,746$100
    Match 42,390$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball121$50,000
    Match 514$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1$487,000,000