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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 14 May 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 27
  3. 47
  4. 64
  5. 65
  6. 9

Jackpot$50,000,000

The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 64 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-05-11All recent draws2016-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 27 47 64 65 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd89th
  • low33th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

134times
276times
477times
647times
65

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-14

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.4Mto 436k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 545%$2.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11%$500.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%$1.2M
  • 5 other tiers17%$756.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

94times

Every number was expected about that many times after 63 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 27, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 December 2015 — its closest relative in 63 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 11% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

216

The numbers add up to 216 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 64–65. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$50,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 0.95 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10≈ 12 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4253≈ 304 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball622≈ 766 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,320≈ 16k by chance$7.00
  • Match 315,416≈ 19k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball115,247≈ 121k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball289,857≈ 290k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,416 winners, 20% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball289,857$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball115,247$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,320$7.00
    Match 315,416$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball622$100
    Match 4253$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10$50,000
    Match 52$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$50,000,000