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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 7 May 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 25
  3. 26
  4. 44
  5. 66
  6. 9

Jackpot$429,600,000

The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 62 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-05-04All recent draws2016-05-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 25 26 44 66 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum42th
  • odd33th
  • low65th
  • widest gap46th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread89th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

54times
255times
262times
444times
66

Prize breakdown · 2016-05-07

  • Lines in play≈ 65Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$450.8Mto 2.6M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball95%$429.6M
  • Match 51.6%$7.0M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1.5%$6.7M
  • 6 other tiers1.7%$7.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

3times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

93times

Every number was expected about that many times after 61 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (5, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 January 2016 — its closest relative in 61 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 May 2016): 66 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 42th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 0.22 by chance
$429,600,000
  • Match 57≈ 5.5 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball52≈ 71 by chance$50,000
  • Match 41,703≈ 1.8k by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball4,430≈ 4.5k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball93,018≈ 92k by chance$7.00
  • Match 3108,768≈ 111k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball713,735≈ 701k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1,683,524≈ 1.7M by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈65M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,703 winners, 4% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1,683,524$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball713,735$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball93,018$7.00
    Match 3108,768$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball4,430$100
    Match 41,703$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball52$50,000
    Match 57$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1$429,600,000