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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 16 March 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 46
  5. 50
  6. 21

Jackpot$70,000,000

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 47 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-03-12All recent draws2016-03-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 12 13 46 50 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd10th
  • low65th
  • widest gap86th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

103times
127times
133times
462times
50

Prize breakdown · 2016-03-16

  • Lines in play≈ 9.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.4Mto 393k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 545%$2.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15%$650.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%$985.5K
  • 5 other tiers18%$792.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

213times

Every number was expected about that many times after 46 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 13) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 March 2016 — its closest relative in 46 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 March 2016): 50 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$70,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 0.81 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13≈ 10 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4300≈ 259 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball768≈ 651 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,247≈ 13k by chance$7.00
  • Match 319,035≈ 16k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball111,406≈ 103k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball246,378≈ 246k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 768 winners, 18% more than the 651 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball246,378$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball111,406$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,247$7.00
    Match 319,035$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball768$100
    Match 4300$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13$50,000
    Match 52$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$70,000,000