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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 26 December 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 27
  2. 40
  3. 44
  4. 59
  5. 65
  6. 20

Jackpot$255,000,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 24 of 1,430 under them

← 2015-12-23All recent draws2015-12-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed27 40 44 59 65 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd65th
  • low10th
  • widest gap15th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

272times
403times
440times
591time
65

Prize breakdown · 2015-12-26

  • Lines in play≈ 21Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.7Mto 844k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21%$1.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$892.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47%$2.2M
  • 4 other tiers13%$630.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

200times

Every number was expected about that many times after 23 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (59) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 December 2015 — its closest relative in 23 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 December 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

235

The numbers add up to 235 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

65 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.07 by chance
$255,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.8 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 23 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4522≈ 583 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,373≈ 1.5k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball28,539≈ 30k by chance$7.00
  • Match 334,459≈ 37k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball223,148≈ 231k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball555,591≈ 556k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 522 winners, 10% fewer than the 583 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball555,591$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball223,148$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball28,539$7.00
    Match 334,459$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,373$100
    Match 4522$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$255,000,000