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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 7 October 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 30
  3. 40
  4. 48
  5. 52
  6. 9

Jackpot$50,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1 of 1,430 under them

← 2015-10-03All recent draws2015-10-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 30 40 48 52 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd1th
  • low33th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

180times
300times
400times
480times
52

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-07

  • Lines in play≈ 8.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$5.8Mto 343k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 569%$4.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball6.2%$363.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball15%$900.1K
  • 5 other tiers10%$571.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

0times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

90times

Every number was expected about that many times after 0 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

No earlier draws to compare against yet.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

188

The numbers add up to 188 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

Every number here is appearing for the first time.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$50,000,000
  • Match 54≈ 0.74 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball6≈ 9.4 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4267≈ 236 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball608≈ 595 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,887≈ 12k by chance$7.00
  • Match 314,397≈ 15k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball90,985≈ 94k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball225,032≈ 225k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 11,887 winners, 3% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball225,032$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball90,985$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,887$7.00
    Match 314,397$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball608$100
    Match 4267$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball6$50,000
    Match 54$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$50,000,000