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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 18 July 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 37
  3. 39
  4. 45
  5. 55
  6. 33

Jackpot$70,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015draw 366 of 388 under them

← 2015-07-15All recent draws2015-07-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 37 39 45 55 + 3329 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Powerball was a 5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 365 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours35th
  • spread79th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

629times
3723times
3938times
4532times
5533times
Stars · a separate 1-of-35 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

3315times

Every number was expected about that many times after 365 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (37, 39, 55) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 November 2014 — its closest relative in 365 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 July 2015): 45 carried over. Chance says 37% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

182

The numbers add up to 182 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

55 had not appeared for 56 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-18

  • Lines in play≈ 9.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$1.4Mto 287k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 311%$162K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%$324.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47%$677.4K
  • 4 other tiers19%$268.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.05 by chance$70,000,000
  2. Match 50≈ 1.8 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8≈ 14 by chance$10,000
  4. Match 4406≈ 492 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball659≈ 766 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,761≈ 13k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 323,142≈ 26k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,218≈ 85k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball169,353≈ 169k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈9.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 659 winners, 14% fewer than the 766 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball169,353$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,218$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,761$7.00
Match 323,142$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball659$100
Match 4406$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8$10,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$70,000,000