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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 3 December 2014

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 25
  2. 30
  3. 32
  4. 46
  5. 54
  6. 26

Jackpot$40,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015draw 301 of 388 under them

← 2014-11-29All recent draws2014-12-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed25 30 32 46 54 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Powerball was a 5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 300 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap20th
  • neighbours35th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

2526times
3023times
3224times
4624times
5433times
Stars · a separate 1-of-35 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

268times

Every number was expected about that many times after 300 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (46, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 November 2014 — its closest relative in 300 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 November 2014): 30 carried over. Chance says 37% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

187

The numbers add up to 187 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-12-03

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$1.3Mto 252k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 312%$146.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%$279.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47%$600.1K
  • 4 other tiers19%$242.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.05 by chance$40,000,000
  2. Match 50≈ 1.6 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball7≈ 13 by chance$10,000
  4. Match 4391≈ 435 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball596≈ 679 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,526≈ 12k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 320,911≈ 23k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball69,793≈ 75k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball150,013≈ 150k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 596 winners, 12% fewer than the 679 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball150,013$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball69,793$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,526$7.00
Match 320,911$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball596$100
Match 4391$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball7$10,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$40,000,000