LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇺🇸 1-800-GAMBLERall helplines →

Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 8 October 2014

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 16
  3. 31
  4. 46
  5. 50
  6. 18

Jackpot$70,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015draw 285 of 388 under them

← 2014-10-04All recent draws2014-10-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 16 31 46 50 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Powerball was a 5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 284 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 October 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum48th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap25th
  • neighbours35th
  • spread64th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

528times
1618times
3124times
4622times
5017times
Stars · a separate 1-of-35 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

1810times

Every number was expected about that many times after 284 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 16, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 May 2014 — its closest relative in 284 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 October 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 37% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-10-08

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.6Mto 301k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 32lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 538%$1M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball13%$346.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%$699.9K
  • 5 other tiers21%$556.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance$70,000,000
  2. Match 51≈ 1.9 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16≈ 15 by chance$10,000
  4. Match 4493≈ 508 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball788≈ 792 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,375≈ 14k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 325,015≈ 27k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball86,578≈ 87k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball174,983≈ 175k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 25,015 winners, 7% fewer than the 27k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball174,983$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball86,578$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,375$7.00
Match 325,015$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball788$100
Match 4493$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16$10,000
Match 51$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$70,000,000