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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 10 September 2014

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 14
  3. 39
  4. 40
  5. 43
  6. 13

Jackpot$127,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015draw 277 of 388 under them

← 2014-09-06All recent draws2014-09-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 14 39 40 43 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Powerball was a 5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 276 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 September 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours83th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

224times
1429times
3926times
4023times
4319times
Stars · a separate 1-of-35 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

139times

Every number was expected about that many times after 276 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (2, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 September 2014 — its closest relative in 276 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 September 2014): 43 carried over. Chance says 37% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-09-10

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.7Mto 498k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 543%$2M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball12%$573.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%$1.2M
  • 5 other tiers20%$933.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance$127,000,000
  2. Match 52≈ 3.1 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33≈ 25 by chance$10,000
  4. Match 4704≈ 850 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,171≈ 1.3k by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball21,458≈ 23k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 338,016≈ 45k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball143,291≈ 146k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball292,840≈ 293k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 704 winners, 17% fewer than the 850 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball292,840$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball143,291$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball21,458$7.00
Match 338,016$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,171$100
Match 4704$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33$10,000
Match 52$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$127,000,000