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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 5 October 2013

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 17
  4. 39
  5. 40
  6. 5

Jackpot$86,000,000

The crowdHeld 6% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015draw 180 of 388 under them

← 2013-10-02All recent draws2013-10-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 12 17 39 40 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Powerball was a 5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 179 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap63th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

1118times
1212times
1718times
3916times
4015times
Stars · a separate 1-of-35 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

57times

Every number was expected about that many times after 179 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 September 2013 — its closest relative in 179 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 37% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12, 39–40. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2013-10-05

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$7.8Mto 518k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 31lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 564%$5.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball8.0%$624.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball15%$1.1M
  • 5 other tiers13%$1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance$86,000,000
  2. Match 55≈ 3.1 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 24 by chance$10,000
  4. Match 4893≈ 832 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,489≈ 1.3k by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball25,876≈ 22k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 346,752≈ 44k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball156,108≈ 143k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball286,500≈ 287k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 25,876 winners, 15% more than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball286,500$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball156,108$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball25,876$7.00
Match 346,752$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,489$100
Match 4893$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29$10,000
Match 55$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$86,000,000