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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 28 September 2013

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 47
  3. 52
  4. 53
  5. 54
  6. 5

Jackpot$60,000,000

The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015draw 178 of 388 under them

← 2013-09-25All recent draws2013-10-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 47 52 53 54 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Powerball was a 5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 177 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

1419times
4710times
5214times
5315times
5415times
Stars · a separate 1-of-35 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

56times

Every number was expected about that many times after 177 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 47, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 January 2013 — its closest relative in 177 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 40% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 September 2013): 53 carried over. Chance says 37% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

220

The numbers add up to 220 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 52–53, 53–54. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 23% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2013-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$3.4Mto 457k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 530%$1.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball15%$489.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball34%$1.1M
  • 5 other tiers22%$743.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance$60,000,000
  2. Match 51≈ 3.0 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23≈ 24 by chance$10,000
  4. Match 4603≈ 822 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball989≈ 1.3k by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,518≈ 22k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 333,100≈ 44k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball122,247≈ 142k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball283,012≈ 283k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 603 winners, 27% fewer than the 822 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball283,012$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball122,247$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,518$7.00
Match 333,100$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball989$100
Match 4603$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23$10,000
Match 51$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$60,000,000