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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 1 May 2013

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 26
  3. 31
  4. 54
  5. 55
  6. 18

Jackpot$165,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015draw 135 of 388 under them

← 2013-04-27All recent draws2013-05-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 26 31 54 55 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Powerball was a 5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 134 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 May 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours83th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

228times
2613times
319times
5411times
5513times
Stars · a separate 1-of-35 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 134 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 31, 55) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 August 2012 — its closest relative in 134 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 April 2013): 54, 55 carried over. Chance says 37% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

188

The numbers add up to 188 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 54–55. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2013-05-01

  • Lines in play≈ 24Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$5.8Mto 723k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 535%$2.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball14%$827.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball29%$1.7M
  • 5 other tiers22%$1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance$165,000,000
  2. Match 52≈ 4.6 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball35≈ 36 by chance$10,000
  4. Match 41,036≈ 1.2k by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,772≈ 1.9k by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball31,496≈ 33k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 357,393≈ 65k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball206,795≈ 212k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball424,397≈ 424k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,036 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball424,397$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball206,795$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball31,496$7.00
Match 357,393$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,772$100
Match 41,036$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball35$10,000
Match 52$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$165,000,000