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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · draw
ResultPowerball
Jackpot$50,000,000
The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015draw 75 of 388 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.
Powerball was a 5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 74 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 74 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (55, 59) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 August 2012 — its closest relative in 74 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 37% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 190 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 717 winners, 19% fewer than the 886 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 195,733 | $4.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 92,494 | $4.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 13,783 | $7.00 |
| Match 3 | 25,016 | $7.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 717 | $100 |
| Match 4 | 486 | $100 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 10 | $10,000 |
| Match 5 | 0 | $1,000,000 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | $50,000,000 |