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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Nov 2025 rules — 219 draws, 1 from 1–15.
Drawn 15 times in 219 draws against 14.6 expected, +0.11σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 15 times in 219 draws · average wait 13.4 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | 3 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-10-07 | 8 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-09-29 | 32 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-08-28 | 11 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-08-17 | 2 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-08-15 | 6 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-08-09 | 1 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-08-08 | 17 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-07-22 | 9 | 1st | 15 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-07-13 | 33 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-06-10 | 12 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-05-29 | 29 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-04-30 | 5 | 1st | 15 |
| 2026-04-25 | 19 | 1st | 15 |
| 2025-12-16 | — | 1st | 15 |