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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Nov 2025 rules — 217 draws, 1 from 1–15.
Drawn 13 times in 217 draws against 14.5 expected, −0.40σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 217 draws · average wait 16.4 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 8 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 5 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-09-28 | 5 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-09-23 | 18 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-09-05 | 9 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-08-27 | 25 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-08-02 | 9 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-07-24 | 4 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-07-20 | 16 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-07-04 | 27 | 1st | 11 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-06-07 | 33 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-05-05 | 2 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-05-03 | 44 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-11-29 | — | 1st | 11 |