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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Saturday, 17 October 2026

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 27
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 30

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 1,449 of 6,998 under them

← 2026-10-16All recent drawsLatest on record

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 12
    2. 18
    3. 20
    4. 22
    5. 32

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 27 28 29 3018 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

16oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 16 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd64th
  • low1th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours100th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 186 of each

21198times
27177times
28195times
29173times
30195times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,448 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 28, 29) with the draw of 3 October 2026 — its closest relative in 1,448 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28, 28–29, 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2026-10-17

  • Lines in play≈ 342kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$193.8Kto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.59

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$79.3K
  • Match 341%$79K
  • Match 218%$35.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.59 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4169≈ 101 by chance$469
  3. Match 33,511≈ 3.3k by chance$22.50
  4. Match 235,582≈ 36k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈342k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,511 winners, 5% more than the 3.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4169$469
Match 33,511$22.50
Match 235,582$1.00
Totals39,262—