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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Saturday, 3 October 2026

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 22
  3. 23
  4. 28
  5. 29

Jackpot$33,572

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 1,435 of 6,968 under them

← 2026-10-02All recent drawsLatest on record

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 22
    2. 28
    3. 31
    4. 32
    5. 36

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 4 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 22 23 28 294 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

19oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 19 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd64th
  • low1th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours100th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

21196times
22207times
23171times
28193times
29170times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,434 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 28, 29) with the draw of 1 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,434 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2026): 29 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22, 22–23, 28–29. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2026-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 386kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$207.6Kto 44k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 54 winnerschance said 0.67

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$50.3K
  • Match 340%$83.6K
  • Match 219%$40.1K
  • 1 other tier16%$33.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 54≈ 0.67 by chance$8,393
  2. Match 4159≈ 114 by chance$317
  3. Match 33,979≈ 3.8k by chance$21.00
  4. Match 240,099≈ 40k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈386k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,979 winners, 6% more than the 3.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 54$8,393
Match 4159$317
Match 33,979$21.00
Match 240,099$1.00
Totals44,241—