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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Tuesday, 22 October 2024

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 19
  4. 22
  5. 32

Jackpot$32,015

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 839 of 7,034 under them

← 2024-10-21All recent draws2024-10-23 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 2
    2. 8
    3. 14
    4. 21
    5. 34

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 19 22 3229 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each

3118times
478times
19112times
22122times
32100times

Every number was expected about that many times after 838 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 4, 22) with the draw of 11 October 2024 — its closest relative in 838 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 October 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

80

The numbers add up to 80 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-22

  • Lines in play≈ 376kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$198.5Kto 43k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 0.65

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$48K
  • Match 340%$79.4K
  • Match 220%$39.1K
  • 1 other tier16%$32K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 0.65 by chance$32,015
  2. Match 492≈ 111 by chance$522
  3. Match 33,453≈ 3.7k by chance$23.00
  4. Match 239,126≈ 39k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈376k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,453 winners, 6% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 51$32,015
Match 492$522
Match 33,453$23.00
Match 239,126$1.00
Totals42,672—