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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Monday, 15 July 2024

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 20
  3. 23
  4. 27
  5. 29

Jackpot$31,907

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 740 of 7,032 under them

← 2024-07-14All recent draws2024-07-16 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 27
    2. 29
    3. 31
    4. 38
    5. 39

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 20 23 27 2929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 95 of each

16102times
20102times
2394times
2790times
2984times

Every number was expected about that many times after 739 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 23, 27) with the draw of 7 July 2023 — its closest relative in 739 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2024): 27, 29 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 353kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$196.2Kto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 0.61

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$47.8K
  • Match 341%$79.7K
  • Match 219%$36.7K
  • 1 other tier16%$31.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 0.61 by chance$31,907
  2. Match 4118≈ 104 by chance$406
  3. Match 33,465≈ 3.4k by chance$23.00
  4. Match 236,735≈ 37k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈353k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,465 winners, 1% more than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 51$31,907
Match 4118$406
Match 33,465$23.00
Match 236,735$1.00
Totals40,319—