Thursday, 23 May 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 15, 34, 35) with the draw of 10 May 2022 — its closest relative in 524 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 14% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 89 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 34–35. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.