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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Tuesday, 28 November 2023

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 12
  4. 21
  5. 31

Jackpot$33,272

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 626 of 7,034 under them

← 2023-11-27All recent draws2023-11-29 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 2
    2. 15
    3. 24
    4. 27
    5. 37

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 12 21 3129 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

290times
980times
1279times
2186times
3185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 625 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 21, 31) with the draw of 6 October 2023 — its closest relative in 625 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 November 2023): 2 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-28

  • Lines in play≈ 400kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$206.4Kto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 0.70

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$49.9K
  • Match 340%$81.6K
  • Match 220%$41.6K
  • 1 other tier16%$33.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 0.70 by chance$33,272
  2. Match 4151≈ 118 by chance$331
  3. Match 34,186≈ 3.9k by chance$19.50
  4. Match 241,590≈ 42k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈400k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,186 winners, 7% more than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 51$33,272
Match 4151$331
Match 34,186$19.50
Match 241,590$1.00
Totals45,928—