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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Tuesday, 3 October 2023

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 21
  3. 24
  4. 28
  5. 32

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 570 of 7,032 under them

← 2023-10-02All recent draws2023-10-04 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 21
    2. 23
    3. 26
    4. 27
    5. 33

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 21 24 28 3229 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd31th
  • low9th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each

1569times
2181times
2481times
2879times
3269times

Every number was expected about that many times after 569 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 24, 32) with the draw of 5 August 2023 — its closest relative in 569 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2023): 21 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 403kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$226.7Kto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.70

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$92.9K
  • Match 341%$91.9K
  • Match 218%$41.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.70 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4110≈ 119 by chance$845
  3. Match 33,831≈ 3.9k by chance$24.00
  4. Match 241,889≈ 42k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈403k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,831 winners, 2% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4110$845
Match 33,831$24.00
Match 241,889$1.00
Totals45,830—