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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Tuesday, 15 August 2023

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 14
  3. 16
  4. 37
  5. 38

Jackpot$34,838

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 521 of 7,034 under them

← 2023-08-14All recent draws2023-08-16 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 3
    2. 22
    3. 23
    4. 24
    5. 32

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 14 16 37 3829 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

166times
1468times
1676times
3766times
3863times

Every number was expected about that many times after 520 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 14, 16) with the draw of 27 November 2022 — its closest relative in 520 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 352kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$210Kto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 0.61

Where the money went

  • Match 425%$52.2K
  • Match 341%$86.3K
  • Match 217%$36.6K
  • 1 other tier17%$34.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 0.61 by chance$34,838
  2. Match 482≈ 104 by chance$637
  3. Match 33,029≈ 3.4k by chance$28.50
  4. Match 236,628≈ 37k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈352k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,029 winners, 12% fewer than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 51$34,838
Match 482$637
Match 33,029$28.50
Match 236,628$1.00
Totals39,740—