Friday, 12 May 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 36, 37) with the draw of 1 May 2023 — its closest relative in 265 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2023): 6 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 134 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.