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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Thursday, 11 May 2023

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 23
  3. 32
  4. 36
  5. 37

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 425 of 7,032 under them

← 2023-05-10All recent draws2023-05-12 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 2
    2. 3
    3. 6
    4. 13
    5. 20

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 23 32 36 3729 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd31th
  • low9th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each

645times
2359times
3255times
3652times
3751times

Every number was expected about that many times after 424 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 23, 37) with the draw of 20 August 2022 — its closest relative in 424 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2023): 6 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 385kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$227.7Kto 44k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.67

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$94K
  • Match 341%$93.8K
  • Match 218%$40K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.67 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 494≈ 114 by chance$1,000
  3. Match 33,608≈ 3.7k by chance$26.00
  4. Match 239,968≈ 40k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈385k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,608 winners, 4% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 494$1,000
Match 33,608$26.00
Match 239,968$1.00
Totals43,670—