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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Take 5 · draw · evening
eveningTake 5
Jackpot$41,288
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 338 of 7,034 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 337 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 15, 29) with the draw of 5 May 2022 — its closest relative in 337 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 October 2022): 15 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 76 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →29 had not appeared for 45 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈470k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,433 winners, 3% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 1 | $41,288 |
| Match 4 | 135 | $459 |
| Match 3 | 4,433 | $23.00 |
| Match 2 | 48,825 | $1.00 |
| Totals | 53,394 | — |