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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Sunday, 11 September 2022

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 21
  5. 30

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 298 of 7,038 under them

← 2022-09-10All recent draws2022-09-12 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 23
    2. 24
    3. 29
    4. 30
    5. 33

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 19 21 3029 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each

1034times
1141times
1937times
2137times
3035times

Every number was expected about that many times after 297 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 19, 21) with the draw of 26 July 2022 — its closest relative in 297 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-11

  • Lines in play≈ 390kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$196.3Kto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.68

Where the money went

  • Match 440%$78.5K
  • Match 339%$77.2K
  • Match 221%$40.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.68 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4118≈ 115 by chance$666
  3. Match 34,173≈ 3.8k by chance$18.50
  4. Match 240,544≈ 41k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈390k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,173 winners, 10% more than the 3.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4118$666
Match 34,173$18.50
Match 240,544$1.00
Totals44,835—