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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Tuesday, 12 October 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 7
  4. 26
  5. 34

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 79 of 7,034 under them

← 2021-10-11All recent draws2021-10-13 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 6
    2. 8
    3. 17
    4. 26
    5. 29

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 7 26 3429 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd9th
  • low64th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

49times
67times
710times
267times
3414times

Every number was expected about that many times after 78 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (4, 34) with the draw of 11 October 2021 — its closest relative in 78 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 October 2021): 4, 34 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

77

The numbers add up to 77 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 493kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$262.6Kto 56k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.86

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$106.4K
  • Match 340%$105K
  • Match 220%$51.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.86 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4117≈ 146 by chance$909
  3. Match 34,667≈ 4.8k by chance$22.50
  4. Match 251,216≈ 51k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈493k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,667 winners, 3% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4117$909
Match 34,667$22.50
Match 251,216$1.00
Totals56,000—