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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Thursday, 30 September 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 9
  3. 21
  4. 30
  5. 34

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 67 of 7,032 under them

← 2021-09-29All recent draws2021-10-01 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 26
    2. 27
    3. 31
    4. 36
    5. 39

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 9 21 30 3429 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

77oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 100% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

66times
99times
218times
307times
3412times

Every number was expected about that many times after 66 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (9, 34) with the draw of 17 September 2021 — its closest relative in 66 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-30

  • Lines in play≈ 495kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$271.3Kto 56k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.86

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$110.2K
  • Match 340%$109.6K
  • Match 219%$51.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.86 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4121≈ 146 by chance$911
  3. Match 34,662≈ 4.8k by chance$23.50
  4. Match 251,482≈ 51k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈495k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,662 winners, 3% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4121$911
Match 34,662$23.50
Match 251,482$1.00
Totals56,265—