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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Saturday, 25 September 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 7
  3. 23
  4. 32
  5. 33

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 62 of 7,034 under them

← 2021-09-24All recent draws2021-09-26 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 4
    2. 18
    3. 21
    4. 23
    5. 37

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 7 23 32 3329 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd89th
  • low31th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

511times
78times
2313times
328times
338times

Every number was expected about that many times after 61 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 23, 33) with the draw of 14 September 2021 — its closest relative in 61 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 46% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-25

  • Lines in play≈ 522kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$275.1Kto 60k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.91

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$111.5K
  • Match 340%$109.3K
  • Match 220%$54.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.91 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4131≈ 154 by chance$852
  3. Match 35,207≈ 5.1k by chance$21.00
  4. Match 254,242≈ 54k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈522k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,207 winners, 2% more than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4131$852
Match 35,207$21.00
Match 254,242$1.00
Totals59,580—